Expert Political Judgment - 2 Angebote vergleichen
Bester Preis: € 28,70 (vom 10.03.2016)1
Expert Political Judgment
EN NWISBN: 9780691128719 bzw. 0691128715, in Englisch, Princeton University Press, Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika, neu.
Lieferung aus: Deutschland, zzgl. Versandkosten, Versandfertig in 1 - 2 Wochen.
Expert Political Judgment, "This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument. It is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic forecasting. Tetlock also offers a unique example of even-handed social science. This may be the first book I have seen in which the arguments and objections of opponents are presented with as much care as the author's own position."--Daniel Kahneman, Princeton University, recipient of the 2002 Nobel Prize in economic sciences"This book is a major contribution to our thinking about political judgment. Philip Tetlock formulates coding rules by which to categorize the observations of individuals, and arrives at several interesting hypotheses. He lays out the many strategies that experts use to avoid learning from surprising real-world events."--Deborah W. Larson, University of California, Los Angeles"This is a marvelous book--fascinating and important. It provides a stimulating and often profound discussion, not only of what sort of people tend to be better predictors than others, but of what we mean by good judgment and the nature of objectivity. It examines the tensions between holding to beliefs that have served us well and responding rapidly to new information. Unusual in its breadth and reach, the subtlety and sophistication of its analysis, and the fair-mindedness of the alternative perspectives it provides, it is a must-read for all those interested in how political judgments are formed."--Robert Jervis, Columbia University"This book is just what one would expect from America's most influential political psychologist: Intelligent, important, and closely argued. Bothscience and policy are brilliantly illuminated by Tetlock's fascinating arguments."--Daniel Gilbert, Harvard University.
Expert Political Judgment, "This book is a landmark in both content and style of argument. It is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important and almost impossible task of political and strategic forecasting. Tetlock also offers a unique example of even-handed social science. This may be the first book I have seen in which the arguments and objections of opponents are presented with as much care as the author's own position."--Daniel Kahneman, Princeton University, recipient of the 2002 Nobel Prize in economic sciences"This book is a major contribution to our thinking about political judgment. Philip Tetlock formulates coding rules by which to categorize the observations of individuals, and arrives at several interesting hypotheses. He lays out the many strategies that experts use to avoid learning from surprising real-world events."--Deborah W. Larson, University of California, Los Angeles"This is a marvelous book--fascinating and important. It provides a stimulating and often profound discussion, not only of what sort of people tend to be better predictors than others, but of what we mean by good judgment and the nature of objectivity. It examines the tensions between holding to beliefs that have served us well and responding rapidly to new information. Unusual in its breadth and reach, the subtlety and sophistication of its analysis, and the fair-mindedness of the alternative perspectives it provides, it is a must-read for all those interested in how political judgments are formed."--Robert Jervis, Columbia University"This book is just what one would expect from America's most influential political psychologist: Intelligent, important, and closely argued. Bothscience and policy are brilliantly illuminated by Tetlock's fascinating arguments."--Daniel Gilbert, Harvard University.
2
Expert Political Judgment
EN NWISBN: 9780691128719 bzw. 0691128715, in Englisch, Princeton University Press, neu.
Lieferung aus: Vereinigtes Königreich Großbritannien und Nordirland, zzgl. Versandkosten.
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Die Beschreibung dieses Angebotes ist von geringer Qualität oder in einer Fremdsprache. Trotzdem anzeigen
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